The trading week of January 5, 2026 has started with significant market movements due to rising geopolitical tensions and changes in the regulatory landscape. The primary driver of instability is the situation in Venezuela, where China has issued a sharp rebuke regarding the alleged US seizure of President Maduro, urging his immediate release and condemning the move as a violation of international law. Uncertainty over the conflict has prompted a flight to safety in global markets: Precious metals have rallied, with gold rising 2.1% to $4,420 and silver rising 3.7% to $75.46. Similarly, the US dollar remains strong against major currencies such as the euro and yen, defying expectations of a long-term softening as investors seek stability.
In the digital asset sector, Bitcoin is benefiting from positive institutional and regulatory developments rather than geopolitical conflict. Professional services giant PwC has signaled a major strategic turn towards crypto services, citing new regulatory clarity provided by the “Genius Act” and the pro-crypto stance of the Trump administration. The move is seen as an important validation of the sector, strengthening the institutionalization story and driving Bitcoin further higher as the new year begins.
The first gold technical analysis of 2026 shows that the bulls are back
Video Analysis Date: 5 January 2026 Deadline: 1 hour chart Analyst: Itai Levitan
Key Takeaways from Gold Futures Analysis Video
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Gold futures opened with a rise this week (~+102.5 points / +2.37%) after jumping perfect beyond Value Area Low (VAL) From Friday’s Anchor Volume profile.
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A “triple-support” structure formed on VAL, and its sequence higher low signaled that buyers are moving in Quick (No patience for a perfect tag).
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value recovered Value Area High (VAH) And broke the previous heights and took the story forward acceptance back above value Instead of a sell-the-rally setup.
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The next upside down “decision zone” sits around 4,440Then 4,450–4,454 Area (semi-round number + pitchfork top), where take partial profit A pullback could spark.
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If a pullback is reached VAH near ~4,385That area becomes a potential “bulls prove it” retesting zone; Failure there would immediately weaken the bullish thesis.
Gold technical analysis is bullish for early 2026
What I’m seeing on the gold futures 1-hour chart
Coming into the first full week of 2026, I’m focused on how gold has reacted price-especially one Anchored Volume Profile Drawn in the former range (Friday). In this framework:
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blue line marks the Value Area Low (VAL) (support edge of price).
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Value Area High (VAH) That value is the upper limit of the region.
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red line Is Point of Control (POC)– The price level with the highest traded volume in that range.
Key details from the video: Gold didn’t just “jump out of nowhere.” it Absolutely supported on VALand then the market Opened over POC And returned cleanly to that area – effectively “tying the dots together” in the middle. Support, value and acceptance,
That’s the difference between simple chart-viewing and professional-level contextual analysis: The market is telling a story about itself. Where? The participants are comfortable doing business.
Golden Bounce Matters: Triple Support + Higher Low
After the initial rejection in VAL, the chart formed what I would call triple support zone Value area around low. Even better for the bulls, the lows started higher shaft,
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Each subsequent fall stopped Above Pre-Low.
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This is often a sign of buyer’s urgency-Participants are willing to pay rather than wait for the “perfect” touch.
Practically, that “higher lows” structure could be an early clue that the move away from VAL isn’t just a dead-cat bounce – it’s potentially a bounce. Transition from liquidation to accumulationEspecially when combined with the recovery of value.
Gold is regaining value and breaking all-time highs: Why it’s not a net shortfall
once the price clears back up VAH (blue line) And as the former swing highs were pushed through, the tone changed. A common trap in this sequence is “breakout… then dump back into range” move it Traps the bulls who are late (A classic fakeout/bull trap).
But in reading the video, the market produced a cleaner breakout attempts Later—it’s more like making aggressive shorts here Power fading with increasing acceptanceInstead of selling in obvious failure.
Put differently: When the price reclaims the value, holds it, and begins to build above it, the market is often signaling. meaning return to higher value Instead of immediate collapse.
Key levels on radar for gold futures today
The video presents several outlines Volume-Profile-Derived Levels This matters as the price moves higher. Here’s how I would organize them for the execution plan:
| level | why it matters | what would i expect |
|---|---|---|
| 4,440 | First notable level ahead of additional volume profile work | early stagnation/rotation risk; “First goal” behavior |
| 4,450 | Semi-round number + natural magnet | Common area for offers + trimming |
| ~4,454 | aligns with on top of the pitchfork | “Decision Points” Where Taking Profits Can Bite |
| 4,473.5 | Key levels from volume profile analysis | If reclaimed/accepted, chances of continuity improve |
| 4,489 | Higher key levels from volume profile analysis | Possible next major objective if momentum continues |
| ~4,385 | Price Zone High Retest Zone (“Join-the-Long” region if it holds) | A pullback here could be constructive-If defended |
Why is 4,450-4,454 a possible reaction region?
Even in fast conditions, risk management Becomes a driver after a big ups and downs. In professional settings, a desk (or risk team) often does not allow a trader to sit without a large position. partial profit at a pre-determined level.
So, all around 4,450-ish—especially when the confluence is near 4,454– A pullback would not be a surprise. it just might take advantageNo reversal of recession.
Technical outlook for gold futures today
It’s not about prediction – it’s about if/then structure,
Bullish continuation scenario
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If The price remains above the retracement price and continues to accept above VAH,
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Then There may be pressure in the market 4,440after this 4,450–4,454 Area.
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If Bulls can absorb the selloff there and take hold again,
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Then opens the way to 4,473.5 and potentially 4,489,
Constructive Pullback Scenario (“Current”)
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If Value re-locates and tags VAH near ~4,385 And buyers defend it,
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Then This is a type of re-testing that can offer a neat longer thesis (joining in strength after the support has been proven).
Bearish Invalidation Risk
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If The market loses VAH and cannot regain it (failed acceptance),
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Then The bullish story weakens and the move risks slipping back into the former range.
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If the price bounces back (and breaks out) a deeper failure will be signaled. price zone low The area that initiated the move.
What do I want to see next from order flow
The video explains that this analysis will be combined with order flow signal– “under the candles” type of evidence that helps to distinguish conviction vs non guilty,
In clear terms, like in levels 4,450–4,454I am looking:
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really aggressive shopping move The price (real demand), versus what the stall buys (absorption).
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Are pullbacks sharp and impulsive (risk-free liquidation) or systematic (structured profit-taking).
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Whether the breakout stays above the level (acceptance) or immediately falls back (auction failure).
Return to this page for information on gold order flow today, to see not only how the price evolves but what it says ‘under the hood’!
where to go together
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