The S&P 500 Index ($ SPX) (SPY) closed on Monday +0.44%, Dow Jones Industries Index ($ Dowi) (Dia) +0.14%shut down, and NASDAQ 100 Index ($ IUXX) (QQC) +0.55%. December E-Mune S&P Futures (ESZ25) increased +0.40%, and December E-Mune Nasdaq Futures (NQZ25) increased +0.50%.
The stock index extended its bull run on Monday and was higher with S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial and Nasdaq 100, with new record height. Power in semiconductor and AI-infrastructure stocks removed the broad market on Monday. The benefits in shares were limited by more bond yields as Hawkish Fed commentary pushed the 10-year T-Rot yield to a 2-week high 4.15%of the 2-week.
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Stock index will continue to post new records on the approach that will allow a weak American labor market to cut interest rates with inherent inflation. The price of gold exceeded +1% to more than Mondays, which has increased to a new all-time high in the form of dowish global central banks, geopolitical risks, and trade tension, which has increased the demand for metal as a value store and a safe-heaven.
The stock was supported after Monday’s minor American Economic News Ogs Chicago Fed National Activity Index, which increased to a 5 -month high in -0.12, stronger than the expectations of -0.15.
Today Fed comments were negative for Hawkish side and stock. St. Louis Fed Chairman Alberto Mustham said that he sees a limited room to cut additional fed interest rate amid advanced inflation and assumes that “there are” rates between minor restrictive and neutral “. In addition, Atlanta Fed Chairman Rafael Bstic said he sees the Fed “slight reason” to cut interest rates as he is concerned about high inflation and does not see inflation returning to 2% until 2028. In addition, Cleveland Fed president Beth Hamac said, “I think we should be very cautious in removing the restorations of monetary policy to avoid the economy.
On Monday, the price of Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) fell more than -2% to 1.5 -weekly, which was powered by long liquidity pressure. According to data from Coinglass, more than 407,000 traders have liquid the situation in the last twenty four hours.
Rising corporate income hopes are a rapid background for shares. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, more than 22% of companies in S&P 500 provided guidance for their Q3 income results, expecting analysts’ expectations, the highest in a year. In addition, S&P companies are expected to post an +6.9% increase in income in Q3 by the end of May.
This week the markets will focus on any new business or tariff news. On Tuesday, S&P construction is expected to fall from PMI -0.8 to 52.2. In addition, Fed Chair Powell speaks on an economic approach at a program at Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce. On Wednesday, August new house sales are expected to decrease from -0.3% m/m to 650,000. On Thursday, weekly early unemployment claims are expected to increase from +2,000 to 233,000. In addition, the August Corps (East -Raksha and Aircraft) are expected to have new orders of capital goods -0.1% m/m. In addition, Q2 GDP is expected to be unchanged at +3.3% (Q/Q annual). Finally, Aug is expected to fall from the current home sales -1.3% m/m to 3.96 million. On Friday, Aug is expected to be individual expenses +0.5% m/m and Aug is expected to be above individual income +0.3% m/m. In addition, Aug core PCE Price Index, Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, +0.2% m/m and +2.9% y/y are expected to increase. Finally, SEP of Michigan University is expected to remain unchanged on the US Consumer Affairs Index 55.4.
Markets are pricing at 90% of the -25 bp rate cuts at the next FOMC meeting on 28-29 October.
Foreign stock markets mixed on Monday. The Euro Stoxx closed down 50 -0.30%. China’s Shanghai Composite +0.22%shut down. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 off +0.99%.
Interest rates
The December 10-year-old T-notes (Znz5) were closed from -1.5 ticks on Monday. The yield of 10-year T-Note increased +1.4 BP to 4.141%. The T-Note prices left an early advance today and fell at a low-lying level of 2-week, and the 10-year T-Rot yield increased to a high 4.149%of 2-week. T-Note St. Louis Fed Chairman Alberto Mustham, Atlanta Fed Chairman Rafael Bick, and Cleveland Fed Chairman Bath Hawlish comments on Monday under pressure on the Hawkish comments, who said that they see limited rooms to cut additional fed interest rates. The Monday rally in S&P 500 has also curbed safe-havan demand for T-notes at a new record high level. Supply pressure is as a recession for T-notes as the Treasury will auction $ 211 billion T-notes and floating rate notes this week, which will begin on Tuesday with a 2-year T-notes with a $ 69 billion auction.
European government bond yield was mixed on Monday. The 10-year-old German Bund yield increased by 2.5-week high 2.762% and increased by +0.1 bp at 2.748%. The 10 -year -old UK gilt yield fell by 2 -week high 4.724% and declined by -0.3 bp at 4.712%.
Swap is giving 2% chance to cut -25 BP rate cut by ECB at its next policy meeting on 30 October.
US Stock Movers
Applied Materials (AMAT) to lead a semiconductor and AI-infrastructure shares closed more than 5% and in Nasdaq 100, Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock for weight over the same weight with a price target of $ 209 to the beneficiaries. In addition, LAM Research (LRCX), seagate technology holdings PLC (STX), and Western Digital (WDC) +closed over 4%, and Nvidia (NVDA) +closed more than 3%. In addition, the ASML holding NV (ASML), Kla CORP (KLAC), and Marvell Technology (MRVL) closed more than 2%, and advanced micro devices (AMD), Micron Technology (MU), and Qualcomm (QCom) +1%.
Tradyne (TER) S&P 500 shut down more than +12% to lead the gainers, when Susquehanna Financial made its price target to $ 133 to $ 200 to $ $ $ 200.
Apple (AAPL) closed more than +4% to lead the beneficiaries in Dow Jones Industrial, as Wesbash increased its price target on stock from $ 270 to $ 310.
MBX Biosciences (MBX) once reported more than +101% after reporting the weekly canvartide, which meets the main target in a phase 2 study for the treatment of chronic hypoparathyroatyroidism.
The Fizer closed more than Metsera (MTSR) +61% after the company agreed to purchase the company for $ 4.9 billion, or per share for $ 47.50.
BMO Capital Markets shut down the Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) +7% after the BMO Capital Markets upgrade the stock to perform better than the market performance better than the market performance.
Helmerich and Payne (HP) closed more than +4% +4% after upgrading the stock to weight more than equal weight with a price target of $ 25.
The FactSet Research Systems (FDS) closed over 3% after upgrading the stock to buy from neutral with a price target of $ 425.
Nisource (NI) its Indiana unit, after NIPSCO, closed more than +3%, NIPSCO, an unknown “large, investment-grade” company agreed to provide electric service to the data center.
The transaction (Len) closed over -4% to reduce home builders, when Raymond James downgrade the stock to underporper the market performance from the market performance. Dr. Horton (DHI), Pultegroup (Phm), and toll brothers (TOL) closed more than -1%.
Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks retreated on Monday after the price of bitcoin fell more than 2% to 1.5-week down. Strategy, Coinbase Global, Bit Digital (BTBT), Mara Holdings (MARA), and RIOT Platforms (RIOT) and RIOT closed more than 2%.
The Kenview (KVUE) closed more than -7% to lead the loser in the S&P500 by Washington Post, when the Trump administration planned to link the company’s active component to autism with autism.
Kerig Dr. Paper (KDP) shut down more than -4% to lead losers in NASDAC 100, BNP Pariba dowry the stock to underporper from neutral with a price target of $ 24.
Match Group (MTCH) closed over -5% to lead dating app makers after meta platforms, stating that it is adding new features to Facebook dating that helps users “to release swipes”.
Amer Sports (AS) shut down more than -4% on the news that Chinese authorities launched an investigation after the fireworks show in Tibet, sponsored by the company’s a subsidiary Architrex, which gave rise to concerns about the impact of the show on the environment.
The United Airlines Holdings (UAL), an aviation analytics company, shut down more than -1% after Cirium data, showing that European planned air travel booking is in the US, this decline is below -11% from last year.
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Aar Corp (Air), Autozone Inc (AZO), Micron Technology Inc. (MU), Milkerknoll Inc (MLKN), Worthington Enterprises Inc (Wor).
On the date of publication, Rich Escpland did not have the positions mentioned in any securities mentioned in this article (either direct or indirectly). All information and data in this article is only for informative purposes. For more information, please see the Barkart Disclosure Policy here.
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